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不确定干扰下基于代理模型的斜拉桥施工辅助决策方法

郑宏利

作者简介:

郑宏利,正高级工程师,E-mail:Zhenghl_12567@163.com

作者单位:

中铁十六局集团路桥工程有限公司,北京 101500

基金项目:

*中国铁建股份有限公司年度科技计划(18-B07);中铁十六局校期资助基金(07WTX-JSFW-2019-0001)

摘要:

斜拉桥施工时在不确定性因素影响下,可能会引发支座脱空等不安全问题。针对此类不确定性因素影响下的施工辅助决策问题,提出一种基于代理模型的可靠度优化方法,通过调整二期荷载中的桥面铺装层厚度来降低辅助墩支座的脱空风险。首先,针对某顶推施工钢箱斜拉桥体系转换过程中出现支座脱空的问题,分析其失效模式,建立了针对该失效模式极限状态对应的代理模型,利用合理性评价指标对代理模型进行评价,保障了代理模型的分析精度;其次,建立了基于代理模型的可靠度分析方法,通过参数敏感性分析实现了关键影响参数的识别;最后,建立了基于代理模型的优化方法,采用NSGA-II对该优化问题进行求解。以一座双塔3跨斜拉桥为例进行验证,结果表明,所提方法能有效降低辅助墩支座的脱空失效概率,提高结构可靠度,且主塔、主梁、斜拉索的力学性能在优化前后未发生明显改变,该斜拉桥施工辅助决策方法可用于指导实际工程施工。

English:

Under the influence of uncertain factors during construction of cable-stayed bridges, unsafe issues such as bearing detachment may occur. In view of the construction auxiliary decision-making problem under the influence of such uncertainty factors, this paper proposes a reliability optimization method based on the surrogate model, which reduces the risk of the void of the auxiliary pier support by adjusting the thickness of the deck pavement in the second stage load. First of all, in view of the problem of bearing detachment in the process of system transformation of a steel box cable-stayed bridge constructed by incremental launching, this paper analyzes its failure mode, establishes a surrogate model corresponding to the limit state of the failure mode, and evaluates the surrogate model with rationality evaluation indicators, which effectively guarantees the analysis accuracy of the surrogate model; Secondly, this paper establishes a reliability analysis method based on the surrogate model, which realizes the identification of key influence parameters through parameter sensitivity analysis; Finally, an optimization method based on surrogate model is established, and NSGA-II is used to solve the optimization problem. Taking a double-tower and three-span cable-stayed bridge as an example, the analysis results show that the method proposed in this paper can effectively reduce the probability of hollow failure of the auxiliary pier support, improve structural reliability, and the mechanical properties of the main tower, main girder, and cable-stayed cable do not change significantly before and after optimization. This results prove that the construction auxiliary decision-making method of cable-stayed bridge proposed in this paper can be used to guide actual engineering construction and achieve good results.

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