基于 WBS⁃RBS 和 TOPSIS 法的城市轨道交通建设风险评估
作者简介:
李强华,助理工程师,E⁃mail: proteus33@ 163. com
作者单位:
中铁十八局集团第三工程有限公司,河北涿州 072750
基金项目:
∗中国铁建股份有限公司 2022 年度科技研究开发计划( 2022⁃C1);中铁十八局集团有限公司 2022 年度科研创新项目(C2022⁃051)
摘要:
地铁建设期间发生的工程风险评估及控制十分重要。工作分解结构⁃风险分解结构(WBS⁃RBS)法已成为开展风险辨识工作的重要方法。以南昌轨道交通 4 号线某盾构区间为例,建立了基于 WBS⁃RBS 法的风险评估模型,并引入改进逼近理想解排序法(TOPSIS)剔除重要度较小的风险因素。模型共包括 2 个一级风险指标,7 个二级风险指标,分别是周边建筑物、周边管线、盾构施工准备、始发、开挖掘进、到达以及联络通道。其中,对盾构施工准备中的盾构选型、周边管线及周边建筑物进行了风险辨识、风险指数计算。风险指数由大到小的排序依次为周边管线>周边建筑物>盾构选型。研究表明,通过对地铁工程建设期间发生的风险采取调整施工参数、加强监测及加强养护等管控措施能够有效提高地铁施工的安全性。经过对比,预控后的风险事件可降低一个风险等级。

English:
It is significant to evaluate and control the engineering risk during the construction of subway.Work breakdown structure⁃risk breakdown structure (WBS⁃RBS) has become a critical method for riskidentification. Taking a shield section of Nanchang Rail Transit Line 4 as an example, a risk assessmentmodel based on the WBS⁃RBS method was established, and the improved TOPSIS method was introducedto eliminate the risk factors with less importance. The model included two first⁃level risk indicators andseven second⁃level risk indicators, namely, surrounding buildings, surrounding pipelines, shieldconstruction preparation, launching, excavation, arrival, and contact channels. Among them, the riskidentification and risk index calculation of shield selection, surrounding pipelines, and surroundingbuildings in shield construction preparation were carried out. The order of risk indices, ranking from bigto small, is surrounding pipelines > surrounding buildings > shield selection. The research indicates thatthe safety of subway construction can be effectively improved by adjusting construction parameters,strengthening monitoring, and strengthening maintenance and other control measures for the risksoccurring during the construction of subway projects. After comparison, the risk events after pre⁃controlcan be reduced by a risk level.