基于长短时记忆网络的深基坑支护桩水平位移预测
作者简介:
陈祺荣,高级工程师,E-mail:670587350@ qq. com
作者单位:
1.广东筠诚建筑科技有限公司,广东云浮 527400; 2.华南理工大学土木与交通学院,广东广州 510641;3.广东省普通高校工程抗震研究中心,广东广州 510641
基金项目:
∗云浮市科技计划(2022010406)
摘要:
随着对地下空间使用需求的增大以及地下空间结构技术发展,在施工阶段对基坑围护结构进行安全性监测和预警愈加重要。为高效预测基坑支护桩水平位移,基于某工程自动化监测数据,采用多输入多输出的长短时记忆(LSTM)网络建立基坑支护桩水平位移预测模型,并与随机森林模型和多维灰色预测模型预测结果进行对比。该模型综合考虑测点水平位移、相邻测点支撑轴力和地下水位等多模态数据,实现对支护桩水平位移的多测点同时预测。研究结果表明,考虑多因素的多输入多输出 LSTM 模型具有较高的预测精度,能够更好地适应复杂的时间序列模式和非线性关系,其预测结果的均方根误差比仅考虑测点水平位移的单输入单输出 LSTM 模型降低 52.5%,比随机森林模型和多维灰色预测模型分别降低 62.3%,59.0%.

English:
With the increasing demand for the use of underground space and development of undergroundspace structure technology, the safety monitoring and earlywarning of foundation excavation retainingstructure in the construction stage is becoming more and more important. To investigate an effectiveprediction method for the horizontal displacement of foundation excavation retaining piles, based on theautomatic monitoring data for a project, a LSTM network with multi-input and multi-output data isproposed to establish the horizontal displacement prediction model of the foundation excavation retainingpiles, and the prediction results were compared with those generated by the random forest model and themulti-variable grey prediction model. The model not only can consider the horizontal displacement of themeasuring points, but also comprehensively can consider multi-modal data, such as the supporting axialforce of adjacent measuring points and the groundwater level. The results show that, by considering themulti-factor data, the multi-input and multi-output LSTM model exhibits higher prediction accuracy andcan better adapt to the complex time series patterns and nonlinear relationship, the root mean square errorof the prediction results is 52.5%, less than that generated by the single-input and single-output LSTMmodel, considering only the horizontal displacement of measuring points, and it is 62.3% and 59.0%less than that generated by the random forest model and the multi-variable grey prediction model,respectively.