理论研究 2025年 第卷 第21期

DOI: 10.7672 / sgjs2025210131

基于机器学习的双模盾构滚刀磨损研究

蒋桂山¹,刘超尹²,王建佳³,董聪慧³,卢高明²,杨延栋²

作者简介:

蒋桂山,高级工程师,E⁃mail:1179129952@ qq. com

作者单位:

1.深圳市市政工程质量安全监督总站,广东深圳 518112; 2.盾构及掘进技术国家重点实验室,河南郑州 450001;3.中铁南方投资集团有限公司,广东深圳 518054

基金项目:

∗河南省重点研发专项(241111241000);河南省自然科学基金重点项目(252300421256);郑州市优秀青年科技人才项目

摘要:

针对隧道盾构掘进盘形滚刀磨损预测精度不足问题,特别是传统方法受刀盘安装半径效应影响较大且预测模型泛化能力较弱,融合 315 组涵盖地质条件、施工参数与刀具性能参数的多维动态数据,构建基于破岩体积磨损速率的分段回归与机器学习协同预测模型,区分刀盘中心区、中间区和边缘区,有效消除安装半径干扰。采用随机森林、BP 神经网络和 XGBoost 模型对滚刀磨损进行预测,并对比分析不同模型性能。研究结果表明,分段回归模型量化了不同区域滚刀磨损特性;XGBoost 模型在测试集上的决定系数达 0.92,平均绝对百分比误差仅为7.5%,预测性能优于随机森林和 BP 神经网络模型,且泛化能力较好;岩石固有属性如单轴抗压强度、CAI 值和石英含量是影响滚刀磨损的核心因素。

English:

In response to the issue of insufficient prediction accuracy for tunnel shield cutter wear,particularly the significant impact of the cutterhead installation radius effect on traditional methods and theweak generalization ability of prediction models, a collaborative prediction model based on segmentalregression and machine learning is proposed. This model integrates 315 sets of multidimensional dynamicdata covering geological conditions, construction parameters, and tool performance parameters, andconstructs the model based on the rock⁃breaking volume wear rate. The model differentiates between thecentral, middle, and edge zones of the cutterhead to effectively eliminate the interference of theinstallation radius. Random forest, BP neural network, and XGBoost models are used to predict thecutter wear, and the performance of these models is compared and analyzed. The research results showthat the segmental regression model quantifies the wear characteristics of the cutter in different zones. TheXGBoost model achieves a coefficient of determination of 0.92 on the test set,with an average absolutepercentage error of only 7.5%, outperforming both the random forest and BP neural network models, anddemonstrating better generalization ability. Core factors influencing cutter wear include inherent rockproperties such as uniaxial compressive strength, CAI value, and quartz content.