应用研究 2026年 第卷 第04期

DOI: 10.7672 / sgjs2026040128

机场周边产业园区光伏安装可行性分析与效益评估

陈喜平¹,张毅超¹,王肖¹,孙慧奇¹,王月¹,刘子扬²

作者简介：

陈喜平，高级工程师，E⁃mail:751846887@ qq. com

作者单位：

1.中铁七局集团西安铁路工程有限公司，陕西西安 710032;2.西安建筑科技大学土木工程学院，陕西西安 710055

基金项目：

∗陕西省重点研发计划（2020SF⁃373）

摘要：

以贵州双龙航空航天配套产业园为研究对象，采用熵权⁃云模型对屋顶光伏项目的安装风险进行评估，并从空域安全、技术、经济、环境等多维度分析可行性，同时对光伏系统的全生命周期效益进行综合评估。结果表明，项目整体风险等级为中等风险，空域安全风险需重点关注，但通过优化设计可降至可接受水平。技术可行性分析显示，单晶硅光伏板在 25°倾角下的发电潜力最大，年发电量可达 4. 82×106kW·h.经济效益评估表明，项目在第11 年实现盈利，25 年总盈利达 1032 万元。环境效益显著，25 年内可减少 CO2 排放 93225t.
光伏；机场；安装；风险；评估；熵权⁃云模型

English：

This study focuses on the roof photovoltaic （ PV） installation risk assessment and feasibilityanalysis for the Guizhou Shuanglong Aerospace Supporting Industrial Park. An entropyweight⁃cloudmodel is employed to evaluate installation risks, incorporating multiple dimensions including airspacesafety, technical feasibility, economic viability, and environmental impact. A comprehensive life⁃cyclebenefit analysis of the PV system is also conducted. The results show that the overall project risk level ismoderate,with airspace safety identified as a critical concern. However, this risk can be reduced to anacceptable level through optimized system design. Technical analysis indicates that monocrystallinesilicon PV panels installed at a 25° tilt angle offer the highest generation potential,yielding an annualoutput of approximately 4.82 × 106kW · h. Economic evaluation reveals that the project achievesbreakeven in year 11,with a cumulative net profit of 10.32 million CNY over 25 years. Theenvironmental benefits are notable,with an estimated reduction of 93225 tons of CO2emissions duringthe same period.