应用研究 2026年 第卷 第10期

DOI: 10.7672 / sgjs2026100126

基于组合赋权与灰色关联的深基坑施工风险评估与控制研究

范海军¹,周 阳¹,于 磊¹,肖明阳¹,刘子扬²

作者简介:

范海军,正高级工程师,E⁃mail:524633226@ qq. com

作者单位:

1. 中铁七局集团西安铁路工程有限公司,陕西 西安 710032;2. 西安建筑科技大学土木工程学院,陕西 西安 710055

基金项目:

∗陕西省重点研发计划(2020SF⁃373)

摘要:

以绿岛湖北站深基坑工程为背景,构建了基于组合赋权与灰色关联分析的风险评估模型. 通过建立涵盖技术、结构、管理、环境与组织风险的多层次指标体系,分别采用层次分析法与熵权法确定指标的主客观权重,并利用组合加权法融合二者优势,克服单一赋权的局限性. 在此基础上,运用灰色关联分析量化评估各风险因素,实现对工程风险水平的定量评价. 应用表明,该模型可有效识别地下连续墙接缝渗漏、高压电塔不均匀沉降及地基加固质量差等关键风险,整体风险等级属于Ⅲ级. 针对上述风险,提出包括防绕流水囊技术、电塔隔离加固与监测体系及预制 U 形槽加固基底在内的控制措施,工程应用表明其应用效果显著.

English:

Based on the deep foundation excavation project of Green Island Hubei Station, a riskassessment model based on combination weighting and grey correlation analysis is constructed. Byestablishing a multi⁃level index system covering technology, structure, management, environment andorganizational risk, the subjective and objective weights of the indicators are determined by the analytichierarchy process and the entropy weight method respectively, and the combined weighting method isused to integrate the advantages of the two to overcome the limitations of single weighting. On this basis,the grey correlation analysis is used to quantitatively evaluate the risk factors and realize the quantitativeevaluation of the project risk level. The application shows that the model can effectively identify the keyrisks such as joint leakage of underground continuous wall, uneven settlement of high⁃voltage tower andpoor quality of foundation reinforcement, and the overall risk level is grade III. In view of the aboverisks, control measures including anti⁃circumfluence water bag technology, tower isolation reinforcementand monitoring system and prefabricated U⁃shaped groove reinforcement base are proposed. Engineeringapplication shows that its application effect is remarkable.