岩土与地下工程 2026年 第卷 第13期

基于 ARIMA 模型的地铁深基坑地下水动态预测与实时可视化

刘志明1,罗文瑞2,刘星2,杨浪1,史博2

作者简介:

刘志明,高级工程师,Email:78248114@qq.com

作者单位:

(1.绍兴市轨道交通集团有限公司,浙江绍兴312099; 2.中铁一局集团有限公司,陕西西安710054)

基金项目:

*中铁一局集团城市轨道交通工程有限公司科研立项:地铁深基坑自动化变形监测与预测关键技术研究

摘要:

地铁深基坑施工中,地下水位动态变化直接影响工程安全,而传统监测方法存在预测精度不足和可视化交互性差的问题。为此,提出一种结合时间序列分析与动态可视化的智能监测方法。基于绍兴地铁2号线称山南路站的自动化监测数据,采用ARIMA进行水位预测,并利用Vue和ECharts构建实时交互可视化平台。结果表明,ARIMA模型一步预测误差小于2cm;可视化系统能实时展示水位变化,支持数据交互查询,显著提升监测效率,解决了传统水位监测的滞后性问题。

English:

In deep foundation excavation construction for subway projects, dynamic changes in the groundwater level directly impact engineering safety, while traditional monitoring methods suffer from insufficient predictive accuracy and poor visualization interactivity. To address this, this paper proposes an intelligent monitoring method that combines time series analysis with dynamic visualization. Based on automated monitoring data from the South Chengshan Road Station on the Shaoxing Metro Line 2, ARIMA was employed for water level forecasting and utilized Vue and ECharts to build a realtime interactive visualization platform. The results indicate that the onestep prediction error of the ARIMA model is less than 2cm. The visualization system can display water level changes in real time and supports interactive data queries, significantly improving monitoring efficiency and resolving the lag problems associated with traditional water level monitoring.